The next Frontier for aI in China could Add $600 billion to Its Economy
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In the past years, China has built a strong structure to support its AI economy and made significant contributions to AI globally. Stanford University’s AI Index, which assesses AI improvements worldwide across various metrics in research study, advancement, and economy, ranks China amongst the leading three nations for global AI vibrancy.1”Global AI Vibrancy Tool: Who’s leading the international AI race?” Artificial Intelligence Index, Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI), Stanford University, 2021 ranking. On research study, for instance, China produced about one-third of both AI journal documents and AI citations worldwide in 2021. In financial investment, China represented almost one-fifth of international personal financial investment funding in 2021, attracting $17 billion for AI start-ups.2 Daniel Zhang et al., Artificial Intelligence Index report 2022, Stanford Institute for Human-Centered Artificial Intelligence (HAI), Stanford University, March 2022, Figure 4.2.6, “Private financial investment in AI by geographical location, 2013-21.”

Five kinds of AI business in China

In China, we discover that AI business usually fall under among 5 main categories:

Hyperscalers establish end-to-end AI innovation ability and team up within the environment to serve both business-to-business and business-to-consumer companies. Traditional market business serve clients straight by developing and adopting AI in internal improvement, new-product launch, and customer support. Vertical-specific AI business develop software and solutions for specific domain use cases. AI core tech providers provide access to computer vision, natural-language processing, voice acknowledgment, and artificial intelligence capabilities to develop AI systems. Hardware business offer the hardware facilities to support AI need in calculating power and storage. Today, AI adoption is high in China in finance, retail, and high tech, which together represent more than one-third of the country’s AI market (see sidebar “5 kinds of AI business in China”).3 iResearch, iResearch serial market research on China’s AI market III, December 2020. In tech, for example, leaders Alibaba and ByteDance, both home names in China, have become known for their highly tailored AI-driven consumer apps. In fact, many of the AI applications that have actually been commonly embraced in China to date have remained in consumer-facing markets, moved by the world’s biggest web customer base and the capability to engage with consumers in new methods to increase client loyalty, income, and market appraisals.

So what’s next for AI in China?

About the research

This research study is based upon field interviews with more than 50 experts within McKinsey and across industries, along with extensive analysis of McKinsey market evaluations in Europe, the United States, Asia, and China particularly in between October and November 2021. In performing our analysis, we looked outside of commercial sectors, such as finance and retail, where there are already mature AI usage cases and clear adoption. In emerging sectors with the highest value-creation capacity, we focused on the domains where AI applications are presently in market-entry phases and could have a disproportionate impact by 2030. Applications in these sectors that either remain in the early-exploration stage or have mature industry adoption, such as manufacturing-operations optimization, were not the focus for the function of the research study.

In the coming decade, our research shows that there is tremendous opportunity for AI growth in new sectors in China, including some where innovation and R&D spending have actually generally lagged worldwide counterparts: automobile, transport, and logistics